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BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Direbornloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 16 games
69%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 14 games
36%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 12 games
17%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TraVins · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
75%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 8 games
75%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
dalul · 7 games
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 7 games
100%

Direborn

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Juju · 4 games
25%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Juju · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
50%
Pugna
Pugna
db- · 2 games
0%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Cije · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
678 picks · 844 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
502 picks · 431 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1146 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
406 picks · 690 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 622 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1029 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 36%
Hero pool strength59% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
REKONIX 89%Direborn 11%
The model gave 89% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Game 2prediction correct
REKONIX 89%Direborn 11%
The model gave 89% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 89%
Series resultREKONIX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2