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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Grind Backwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 30 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 22 games
45%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 21 game
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 19 games
26%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 18 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 17 games
59%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TraVins · 17 games
59%

Grind Back

Tiny
Tiny
Cije · 3 games
0%
Bane
Bane
ace12 · 2 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
0%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
seimei · 1 game
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Cije · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
638 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
592 picks · 334 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
465 picks · 544 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
458 picks · 659 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
421 picks · 365 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
352 picks · 510 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 399 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 1017 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% REKONIX
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total68% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
REKONIX 68%Grind Back 32%
The model gave 68% on REKONIX — the game was taken by Grind Back.
Game 2prediction missed
REKONIX 68%Grind Back 32%
The model gave 68% on REKONIX — the game was taken by Grind Back.
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 68%
Series resultGrind Back 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2