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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
OGwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 29 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 22 games
45%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 20 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 19 games
26%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 18 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 18 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
47%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 16 games
63%

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 13 games
46%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 12 games
25%
Windranger
Windranger
Natsumi · 12 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 11 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 11 games
27%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 10 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 10 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
641 picks · 442 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
591 picks · 333 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
472 picks · 553 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
457 picks · 660 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 376 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 522 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 406 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 1030 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 29%
Hero pool strength53% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:33
REKONIX 45%OG 55%
The model gave 55% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 48:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyTraVins
48% · 382 games49% · 152 games
GyrocopterNatsumi
Gyrocopter
Zeus
ZeusinYourdreaM
53% · 18 games55% · 325 games
PuckYopaj
Puck
Kunkka
KunkkaFbz
46% · 68 games57% · 113 games
Nature's ProphetSkem
Nature's Prophet
Lion
Liondalul
51% · 160 games49% · 170 games
AxeRaven
Axe
Enchantress
EnchantressVarizh
47% · 161 game44% · 29 games
IoTims
Io
Game 2prediction missed33:28
REKONIX 45%OG 55%
The model gave 55% on OG — the game was taken by REKONIX in 1:11:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTraVins
49% · 285 games53% · 243 games
Nature's ProphetSkem
Nature's Prophet
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFbz
53% · 246 games51% · 681 game
PuckYopaj
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritinYourdreaM
46% · 442 games48% · 465 games
Dragon KnightNatsumi
Dragon Knight
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkdalul
54% · 470 games50% · 164 games
UndyingRaven
Undying
Disruptor
DisruptorVarizh
46% · 362 games49% · 252 games
WindrangerTims
Windranger
Game 3prediction correct16:37
REKONIX 45%OG 55%
The model gave 55% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 50:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezTraVins
50% · 189 games50% · 288 games
WindrangerNatsumi
Windranger
Viper
ViperFbz
45% · 161 game50% · 549 games
PuckYopaj
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritinYourdreaM
43% · 468 games58% · 72 games
LycanRaven
Lycan
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkdalul
52% · 487 games54% · 177 games
GyrocopterTims
Gyrocopter
Lich
LichVarizh
53% · 54 games49% · 273 games
DisruptorSkem
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 61%
Series resultOG 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3