?
arrow_backBack to match
PGL Wallachia Season 7. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PlayTimeloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 19 games
74%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
80%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 10 games
70%
Razor
Razorsignature
Fbz · 8 games
88%
Pudge
Pudge
dalul · 7 games
57%

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 8 games
38%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
JG · 6 games
83%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Gabbi · 5 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 5 games
60%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
JG · 4 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Kuku · 4 games
50%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Armel · 4 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
DJ · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
550 picks · 903 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
527 picks · 399 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
481 picks · 653 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
477 picks · 609 bans
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
409 picks · 860 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
370 picks · 603 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
357 picks · 502 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
355 picks · 213 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 62%
Hero pool strength54% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:27
REKONIX 54%PlayTime 46%
The model gave 54% on REKONIX — the game was taken by PlayTime in 56:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinTraVins
52% · 216 games51% · 194 games
Shadow FiendAkashi
Shadow Fiend
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerFbz
48% · 171 game56% · 221 game
TimbersawGabbi
Timbersaw
Tiny
TinyinYourdreaM
46% · 355 games49% · 177 games
Void SpiritArmel
Void Spirit
Largo
Largodalul
61% · 20 games51% · 67 games
Nyx AssassinDJ
Nyx Assassin
Disruptor
DisruptorVarizh
49% · 294 games46% · 397 games
JakiroKuku
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct23:6
REKONIX 58%PlayTime 42%
The model gave 58% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 31:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezTraVins
55% · 57 games44% · 63 games
LunaAkashi
Luna
Timbersaw
TimbersawFbz
53% · 195 games47% · 303 games
MarsGabbi
Mars
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
57% · 307 games46% · 144 games
Void SpiritArmel
Void Spirit
Muerta
Muertadalul
50% · 207 games46% · 535 games
JakiroDJ
Jakiro
Warlock
WarlockVarizh
50% · 390 games53% · 111 games
Crystal MaidenKuku
Crystal Maiden
Game 3prediction missed11:34
REKONIX 56%PlayTime 44%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by PlayTime in 34:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingTraVins
51% · 180 games49% · 181 game
MuertaAkashi
Muerta
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFbz
47% · 308 games55% · 116 games
UnderlordGabbi
Underlord
Tiny
TinyinYourdreaM
48% · 400 games53% · 285 games
PuckArmel
Puck
Largo
Largodalul
67% · 7 games47% · 393 games
TuskDJ
Tusk
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageVarizh
44% · 129 games60% · 49 games
Treant ProtectorKuku
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 3