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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 29 games
38%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 22 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 20 games
25%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 19 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 18 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
59%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TraVins · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
47%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 42 games
60%
Largo
Largosignature
Collapse · 21 game
62%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
rue · 21 game
48%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Panto · 20 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 20 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
623 picks · 440 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 314 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 389 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
406 picks · 583 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
378 picks · 419 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 501 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
343 picks · 634 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 59%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total92% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:46
REKONIX 21%Team Spirit 79%
The model gave 79% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 41:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaTraVins
46% · 71 game47% · 56 games
Drow RangerYatoro
Drow Ranger
Puck
PuckinYourdreaM
51% · 200 games50% · 45 games
Earth SpiritLarl
Earth Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFbz
53% · 67 games58% · 169 games
DoomCollapse
Doom
Techies
Techiesdalul
46% · 133 games51% · 248 games
Rubicknot me
Rubick
Enchantress
EnchantressVarizh
46% · 129 games48% · 82 games
Lichrue
Lich
Game 2prediction correct15:36
REKONIX 21%Team Spirit 79%
The model gave 79% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 27:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendTraVins
51% · 326 games48% · 134 games
KezYatoro
Kez
Snapfire
SnapfireinYourdreaM
50% · 397 games44% · 110 games
Dark SeerCollapse
Dark Seer
Lycan
LycanFbz
56% · 123 games51% · 163 games
InvokerLarl
Invoker
Batrider
Batriderdalul
54% · 280 games47% · 514 games
Hoodwinknot me
Hoodwink
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenVarizh
38% · 29 games54% · 234 games
Banerue
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 92%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2