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DreamLeague Season 30. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Resp Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cloud Dawningwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Resp Gaming

Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
67%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
67%
Bane
Baneoften banned
QYQX · 2 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
生死 · 2 games
50%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
ukiyo · 2 games
0%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Juju · 1 game
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
生死 · 1 game
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Juju · 1 game
0%

Cloud Dawning

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
534 picks · 345 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
464 picks · 251 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
409 picks · 184 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
365 picks · 336 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 523 bans
56%
Windranger
Windranger
310 picks · 140 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
300 picks · 298 bans
53%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
299 picks · 527 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Cloud Dawning
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Resp Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:32
Resp Gaming 54%Cloud Dawning 46%
The model gave 54% on Resp Gaming — the game was taken by Cloud Dawning in 45:51.
Game 2prediction missed19:35
Resp Gaming 54%Cloud Dawning 46%
The model gave 54% on Resp Gaming — the game was taken by Cloud Dawning in 37:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteResp Gaming · 54%
Series resultCloud Dawning 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2