The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionRHRetirement Homewin 1:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TTHEBOYS67loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Retirement Home
Bane
Ceb · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
qojqva · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Ceb · 1 game
Lion
Pablo · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Arteezy · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
qojqva · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
qojqva · 1 game
Snapfireoften banned
Pablo · 1 game
THEBOYS67
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
529 picks · 296 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 612 bans
Puck
346 picks · 984 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 516 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% THEBOYS67
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Retirement Home
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:6
Retirement Home 76%THEBOYS67 24%
The model gave 76% on Retirement Home — the game was taken by Retirement Home in 28:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteRetirement Home · 76%
Series resultRetirement Home 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1