BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Roar Gamingwin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TJTeam Jitsuloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Roar Gaming
Snapfire
CatYou · 18 games
Disruptorsignature
RedPanda · 14 games
Tusk
CatYou · 12 games
Abaddonoften banned
Ulu · 11 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulu · 11 games
Jakirooften banned
RedPanda · 11 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
CatYou · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
生死 · 10 games
Team Jitsu
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
607 picks · 622 bans
Dragon Knight
512 picks · 688 bans
Tusk
512 picks · 326 bans
Snapfire
510 picks · 197 bans
Hoodwink
457 picks · 225 bans
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 529 bans
Mars
404 picks · 549 bans
Pangolier
387 picks · 555 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Team Jitsu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Roar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Roar Gaming 80%Team Jitsu 20%
The model gave 80% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct38:9
Roar Gaming 66%Team Jitsu 34%
The model gave 66% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 27:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopterukiyo
MuertaMS
Dawnbreaker生死
Tuskrayy
Storm SpiritButterflyEffect
RingmasterCatYou
DisruptorRedPanda
Model check result
Model favoriteRoar Gaming · 80%
Series resultRoar Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2