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BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Roar Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tearlamentswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Roar Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
CatYou · 16 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
RedPanda · 12 games
58%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Ulu · 9 games
56%
Jakiro
Jakiro
RedPanda · 9 games
33%
Mars
Marssignature
生死 · 9 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
生死 · 9 games
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
22%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
CatYou · 9 games
56%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
poyoyo · 14 games
79%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 11 games
73%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 11 games
55%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 11 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 10 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 9 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
7e · 9 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Echo · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
661 picks · 321 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
563 picks · 574 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
421 picks · 224 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
408 picks · 1153 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
380 picks · 637 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
358 picks · 260 bans
50%
Pugna
Pugna
356 picks · 399 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
354 picks · 937 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 64%
Hero pool strength55% Tearlaments
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total64% Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Roar Gaming 36%Tearlaments 64%
The model gave 64% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments.
Game 2prediction correct
Roar Gaming 36%Tearlaments 64%
The model gave 64% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments.
Model check result
Model favoriteTearlaments · 64%
Series resultTearlaments 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2