Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostikfacekid Clubwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VooDooSh Clubloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostikfacekid Club
No games played over 6 months.
VooDooSh Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
587 picks · 361 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
Rubick
477 picks · 256 bans
Tiny
447 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
395 picks · 547 bans
Puck
337 picks · 900 bans
Beastmaster
329 picks · 832 bans
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Rostikfacekid Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Rostikfacekid Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rostikfacekid Club 61%VooDooSh Club 39%
The model gave 61% on Rostikfacekid Club — the game was taken by Rostikfacekid Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Rostikfacekid Club 61%VooDooSh Club 39%
The model gave 61% on Rostikfacekid Club — the game was taken by Rostikfacekid Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostikfacekid Club · 61%
Series resultRostikfacekid Club 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2