i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
425 picks · 965 bans
Void Spirit
398 picks · 556 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 708 bans
Mars
341 picks · 574 bans
Grimstroke
311 picks · 297 bans
Earth Spirit
295 picks · 291 bans
Tusk
293 picks · 208 bans
Lion
264 picks · 142 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 65%
Hero pool strength50% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total70% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:26
Royal Never Give Up 30%Invictus Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 36:18.
Game 2prediction correct26:15
Royal Never Give Up 30%Invictus Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 28:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 70%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2