Gamers8 Riyadh Masters · BO2
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Nigma Galaxy
Weaveroften banned
KuroKy · 11 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
GH · 10 games
Death Prophetoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 9 games
Tinysignature
iLTW · 9 games
Tusk
GH · 9 games
Bane
KuroKy · 8 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Miracle- · 8 games
Dark Seeroften banned
rmN- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
579 picks · 444 bans
Puck
408 picks · 869 bans
Mars
395 picks · 602 bans
Dragon Knight
368 picks · 482 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 176 bans
Bane
331 picks · 227 bans
Ember Spirit
306 picks · 582 bans
Dawnbreaker
294 picks · 351 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 71%
Hero pool strength53% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:19
Royal Never Give Up 42%Nigma Galaxy 58%
The model gave 58% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 29:00.
Game 2prediction correct24:47
Royal Never Give Up 42%Nigma Galaxy 58%
The model gave 58% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 49:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 58%
Accuracy by game2 of 2