i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Asterloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Team Aster
Puckoften banned
White丶Album · 22 games
Abaddonsignature
LaNm · 20 games
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 19 games
Lionsignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Monet · 16 games
Axesignature
Xxs · 15 games
Treant Protector
LaNm · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
416 picks · 192 bans
Hoodwink
358 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
299 picks · 607 bans
Mars
281 picks · 471 bans
Puck
281 picks · 624 bans
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 361 bans
Winter Wyvern
267 picks · 244 bans
Lina
253 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% Team Aster
Head-to-head0 – 6
Model total74% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:25
Royal Never Give Up 26%Team Aster 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 43:10.
Game 2prediction correct31:28
Royal Never Give Up 26%Team Aster 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Team Aster in 44:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 74%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2