i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
429 picks · 965 bans
Void Spirit
393 picks · 556 bans
Death Prophet
356 picks · 710 bans
Mars
338 picks · 570 bans
Grimstroke
314 picks · 301 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 210 bans
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 284 bans
Lion
271 picks · 143 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 34%
Hero pool strength50% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 69%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect