Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 17 games
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 17 games
Tidehuntersignature
ELeVeN · 16 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 14 games
Weaveroften banned
Pyw · 14 games
Lion
Pyw · 12 games
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 11 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
poyoyo · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
369 picks · 539 bans
Bane
349 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
337 picks · 204 bans
Weaver
321 picks · 722 bans
Io
242 picks · 569 bans
Disruptor
240 picks · 154 bans
Monkey King
238 picks · 731 bans
Tidehunter
235 picks · 371 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 6
Model total52% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:23
Royal Never Give Up 52%Vici Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 32:31.
Game 2prediction missed9:25
Royal Never Give Up 52%Vici Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 28:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 52%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2