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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Runa Teamloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cyber Goosewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Runa Team

Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 25 games
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
nicky`cool · 17 games
65%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hduo · 14 games
43%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Hduo · 12 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Alberkaaa · 11 games
55%
Batrider
Batridersignature
queezy · 10 games
80%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
nicky`cool · 10 games
70%
Silencer
Silencer
Hduo · 9 games
56%

Cyber Goose

Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 3 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Solo · 3 games
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
prblms · 3 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Noticed · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
TA2000 · 2 games
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Solo · 2 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
490 picks · 446 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
488 picks · 569 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
452 picks · 232 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
353 picks · 718 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
320 picks · 730 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
316 picks · 496 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
304 picks · 265 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
296 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 75%
Hero pool strength52% Runa Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:24
Runa Team 43%Cyber Goose 57%
The model gave 57% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 32:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaShigetsu
44% · 91 game45% · 205 games
TerrorbladeTA2000
Terrorblade
Timbersaw
Timbersawnicky`cool
45% · 118 games47% · 156 games
KunkkaNoticed
Kunkka
Bristleback
BristlebackAlberkaaa
57% · 226 games47% · 219 games
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
Storm Spirit
Windranger
Windrangerqueezy
49% · 189 games54% · 127 games
Shadow Shamanprblms
Shadow Shaman
Naga Siren
Naga SirenHduo
63% · 99 games48% · 16 games
DazzleSolo
Dazzle
Game 2prediction correct21:24
Runa Team 44%Cyber Goose 56%
The model gave 56% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 40:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerShigetsu
50% · 26 games45% · 156 games
TerrorbladeTA2000
Terrorblade
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painnicky`cool
46% · 130 games51% · 103 games
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
Centaur Warrunner
Tidehunter
TidehunterAlberkaaa
55% · 113 games54% · 167 games
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
Monkey King
Naga Siren
Naga SirenHduo
58% · 103 games43% · 99 games
Windrangerprblms
Windranger
Dark Willow
Dark Willowqueezy
49% · 169 games52% · 16 games
DazzleSolo
Dazzle
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 64%
Series resultCyber Goose 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2