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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 2:1
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Spirit Academyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 39 games
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 36 games
69%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
39%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 34 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 25 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 22 games
55%

Team Spirit Academy

Jakiro
Jakiro
kyford · 19 games
26%
Lion
Lion
Aidar · 15 games
47%
Warlock
Warlock
kyford · 13 games
31%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 12 games
25%
Dazzle
Dazzle
kyford · 12 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Aidar · 10 games
20%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
SunshineRR · 10 games
10%
Techies
Techies
Aidar · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
607 picks · 392 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
510 picks · 284 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
463 picks · 382 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
418 picks · 588 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 952 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 281 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 492 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 27%
Hero pool strength61% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total87% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:37
Rune Eaters 73%Team Spirit Academy 27%
The model gave 73% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy in 49:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeDarkLord^
45% · 108 games44% · 114 games
Brewmasterkae
Brewmaster
Zeus
ZeusCopy
50% · 13 games46% · 124 games
Kunkka86
Kunkka
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMalik
55% · 195 games50% · 77 games
GrimstrokeAidar
Grimstroke
Hoodwink
HoodwinkEkki
53% · 213 games49% · 304 games
Ringmasterkyford
Ringmaster
Bane
Baneaik
58% · 90 games
Game 2prediction correct43:14
Rune Eaters 74%Team Spirit Academy 26%
The model gave 74% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 38:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerDarkLord^
50% · 131 game46% · 212 games
Underlordkae
Underlord
Pangolier
PangolierCopy
49% · 235 games43% · 87 games
Kunkka86
Kunkka
Lycan
LycanMalik
58% · 68 games44% · 208 games
Dark WillowAidar
Dark Willow
Batrider
BatriderEkki
50% · 231 game54% · 243 games
Banekyford
Bane
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoraik
59% · 85 games
Game 3prediction correct41:18
Rune Eaters 73%Team Spirit Academy 27%
The model gave 73% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 36:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendDarkLord^
52% · 123 games47% · 202 games
Dawnbreakerkae
Dawnbreaker
Pangolier
PangolierCopy
56% · 126 games45% · 24 games
Zeus86
Zeus
Lycan
LycanMalik
59% · 51 game46% · 175 games
Enchantresskyford
Enchantress
Rubick
RubickEkki
48% · 142 games48% · 109 games
LionAidar
Lion
Undying
Undyingaik
52% · 68 games
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 87%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3