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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 2:1
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Virtus.proloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 31 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 22 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 21 game
33%
Windranger
Windranger
yowaai · 21 game
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 18 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ankou · 17 games
47%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
47%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 16 games
75%

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 28 games
39%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 20 games
45%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 20 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Abed · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 20 games
35%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Fly · 17 games
29%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
47%
Rubick
Rubick
Hellscream · 17 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
574 picks · 407 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
491 picks · 292 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
400 picks · 387 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
364 picks · 494 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
338 picks · 630 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
338 picks · 315 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
334 picks · 235 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
312 picks · 462 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 35%
Hero pool strength55% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:38
Rune Eaters 37%Virtus.pro 63%
The model gave 63% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 46:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerDarkLord^
51% · 81 game60% · 34 games
SpectreTimado
Spectre
Axe
AxeMalik
49% · 255 games45% · 75 games
Dark SeerSabeRLight-
Dark Seer
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritCopy
42% · 61 game51% · 313 games
SlardarAbed
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkEkki
51% · 484 games50% · 302 games
RingmasterHellscream
Ringmaster
Bane
Baneaik
57% · 219 games46% · 376 games
JakiroFly
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed47:42
Rune Eaters 38%Virtus.pro 62%
The model gave 62% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 1:04:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckCopy
51% · 311 games57% · 129 games
LifestealerTimado
Lifestealer
Largo
LargoMalik
50% · 157 games48% · 424 games
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
Beastmaster
Tiny
TinyDarkLord^
44% · 352 games57% · 97 games
Earth SpiritAbed
Earth Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkEkki
48% · 451 game50% · 333 games
ClockwerkHellscream
Clockwerk
Lich
Lichaik
52% · 61 game46% · 349 games
RingmasterFly
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction missed30:21
Rune Eaters 42%Virtus.pro 58%
The model gave 58% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 38:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMalik
47% · 288 games44% · 427 games
TinyTimado
Tiny
Puck
PuckCopy
55% · 375 games51% · 72 games
Earth SpiritAbed
Earth Spirit
Alchemist
AlchemistDarkLord^
58% · 83 games47% · 265 games
UnderlordSabeRLight-
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightEkki
60% · 125 games42% · 150 games
Dark WillowHellscream
Dark Willow
Ringmaster
Ringmasteraik
60% · 212 games38% · 169 games
SilencerFly
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 72%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3