2022 Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Саудовская Аравияloss 0:2series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Малайзияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Саудовская Аравия
No games played over 6 months.
Малайзия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
301 picks · 150 bans
Pangolier
210 picks · 405 bans
Ember Spirit
208 picks · 275 bans
Beastmaster
192 picks · 381 bans
Skywrath Mage
184 picks · 108 bans
Dark Seer
183 picks · 348 bans
Storm Spirit
178 picks · 264 bans
Vengeful Spirit
174 picks · 247 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Саудовская Аравия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Малайзия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Саудовская Аравия 15%Малайзия 85%
The model gave 85% on Малайзия — the game was taken by Малайзия.
Game 2prediction correct
Саудовская Аравия 15%Малайзия 85%
The model gave 85% on Малайзия — the game was taken by Малайзия.
Model check result
Model favoriteМалайзия · 85%
Series resultМалайзия 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2