IESF World Esports Championship 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Саудовская Аравияloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Швецияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Саудовская Аравия
No games played over 6 months.
Швеция
Alchemistoften banned
Charlie · 2 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Excalibur · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
bengan · 1 game
Hoodwink
Pablo · 1 game
Lion
Pablo · 1 game
Witch Doctor
bengan · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
470 picks · 639 bans
Clockwerk
404 picks · 449 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 500 bans
Luna
344 picks · 428 bans
Enchantress
316 picks · 626 bans
Dark Willow
315 picks · 169 bans
Dragon Knight
302 picks · 376 bans
Batrider
281 picks · 290 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% Швеция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Швеция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:42
Саудовская Аравия 35%Швеция 65%
The model gave 65% on Швеция — the game was taken by Швеция in 33:05.
Game 2prediction correct
Саудовская Аравия 35%Швеция 65%
The model gave 65% on Швеция — the game was taken by Швеция.
Model check result
Model favoriteШвеция · 65%
Series resultШвеция 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2