IESF World Championship 2021. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Сербияloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Грецияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Сербия
No games played over 6 months.
Греция
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
368 picks · 171 bans
Hoodwink
347 picks · 123 bans
Lina
266 picks · 454 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 522 bans
Luna
249 picks · 347 bans
Mars
240 picks · 411 bans
Winter Wyvern
237 picks · 244 bans
Dragon Knight
234 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Сербия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Греция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteГреция · 57%
Series resultГреция 0:2
Series predictioncorrect