EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
Сербияloss 0:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Польшаwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Сербия
No games played over 6 months.
Польша
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
660 picks · 519 bans
Marci
477 picks · 703 bans
Dawnbreaker
442 picks · 610 bans
Puck
434 picks · 896 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
296 picks · 389 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 469 bans
Razor
276 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Сербия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Сербия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Сербия 60%Польша 40%
The model gave 60% on Сербия — the game was taken by Польша.
Model check result
Model favoriteСербия · 60%
Series resultПольша 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1