PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSPSF Pos 4win 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Salvation Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SF Pos 4
No games played over 6 months.
Salvation Gaming
Gyrocopteroften banned
YoungGodLevi · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 7 games
Lion
Dric~ · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
Rubick
Dric~ · 4 games
Terrorblade
LOyd · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
411 picks · 442 bans
Rubick
411 picks · 319 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 825 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 877 bans
Phoenix
361 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
348 picks · 510 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 485 bans
Dragon Knight
301 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 29%
Hero pool strength59% SF Pos 4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Salvation Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
SF Pos 4 50%Salvation Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Salvation Gaming — the game was taken by SF Pos 4.
Game 2prediction missed
SF Pos 4 50%Salvation Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Salvation Gaming — the game was taken by SF Pos 4.
Model check result
Model favoriteSalvation Gaming · 50%
Series resultSF Pos 4 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2