Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Empire Hopewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Team Empire Hope
Beastmasteroften banned
Mastery · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
Mastery · 1 game
Bloodseekeroften banned
krylat · 1 game
Chenoften banned
antoha · 1 game
Dazzle
antoha · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
antoha · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
Mastery · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
706 picks · 520 bans
Puck
512 picks · 990 bans
Dawnbreaker
426 picks · 538 bans
Marci
395 picks · 725 bans
Snapfire
377 picks · 199 bans
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 339 bans
Zeus
302 picks · 333 bans
Razor
294 picks · 607 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Team Empire Hope
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% SG e-sports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:34
SG e-sports 61%Team Empire Hope 39%
The model gave 61% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 42:01.
Game 2prediction missed28:32
SG e-sports 61%Team Empire Hope 39%
The model gave 61% on SG e-sports — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 45:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteSG e-sports · 61%
Series resultTeam Empire Hope 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2