BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
SG e-sportsloss 1:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The Cutloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 5 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 2 games
Axe
TingleK1ng · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 1 game
Gyrocopter
Scourge McDuck · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
TingleK1ng · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
343 picks · 701 bans
Void Spirit
324 picks · 408 bans
Mars
272 picks · 478 bans
Earth Spirit
252 picks · 213 bans
Death Prophet
230 picks · 340 bans
Rubick
228 picks · 126 bans
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 642 bans
Keeper of the Light
214 picks · 443 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 73%
Hero pool strength60% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 64%