BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
SG e-sportswin 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Wolf Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
560 picks · 430 bans
Marci
455 picks · 637 bans
Dawnbreaker
342 picks · 464 bans
Puck
340 picks · 760 bans
Death Prophet
297 picks · 493 bans
Winter Wyvern
293 picks · 372 bans
Batrider
253 picks · 811 bans
Dazzle
251 picks · 160 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% SG e-sports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total51% Wolf Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
SG e-sports 49%Wolf Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by SG e-sports.
Game 2prediction correct
SG e-sports 49%Wolf Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by Wolf Team.
Game 3prediction missed
SG e-sports 49%Wolf Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Wolf Team — the game was taken by SG e-sports.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Team · 51%
Series resultSG e-sports 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3