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Intel World Open Beijing · BO3
result vs prediction
Shenzhenloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shenzhen

No games played over 6 months.

Vici Gaming

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ELeVeN · 19 games
58%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Pyw · 19 games
53%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 18 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 18 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Yds · 16 games
38%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Ori · 13 games
77%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
ELeVeN · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
438 picks · 324 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
410 picks · 599 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
348 picks · 418 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
343 picks · 776 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
328 picks · 182 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
269 picks · 449 bans
56%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
265 picks · 385 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
244 picks · 334 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 66%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect