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DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 16 games
56%
Zeus
Zeussignature
Skem · 13 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 12 games
50%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Yopaj · 12 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Timado · 11 games
73%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 10 games
60%
Lich
Lichsignature
Skem · 10 games
70%

9z Team

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
535 picks · 735 bans
48%
Muerta
Muerta
433 picks · 318 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
429 picks · 704 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
410 picks · 402 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
385 picks · 882 bans
57%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
384 picks · 678 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
382 picks · 1026 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 510 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 95%9z Team 5%
The model gave 95% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Game 2prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 95%9z Team 5%
The model gave 95% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 95%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2