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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 19 games
68%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 16 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 14 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Timado · 14 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
69%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Yopaj · 13 games
69%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Timado · 13 games
46%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Yopaj · 12 games
42%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
490 picks · 490 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 561 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
368 picks · 176 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
284 picks · 540 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
266 picks · 374 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
261 picks · 150 bans
48%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
259 picks · 514 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
257 picks · 144 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:21
Shopify Rebellion 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 51:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaTimado
46% · 123 games56% · 135 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritYopaj
48% · 189 games46% · 154 games
SvenKiritych
Sven
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDavai
57% · 204 games42% · 61 game
AbaddonMieRo
Abaddon
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightHellscream
51% · 78 games52% · 168 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Bane
BaneSkem
49% · 28 games50% · 104 games
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct9:24
Shopify Rebellion 46%BETBOOM TEAM 54%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinTimado
46% · 195 games47% · 207 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Pangolier
PangolierYopaj
46% · 309 games51% · 313 games
BristlebackgpK~
Bristleback
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDavai
49% · 197 games44% · 120 games
MedusaMieRo
Medusa
Warlock
WarlockSkem
55% · 138 games58% · 64 games
TinkerKataomi
Tinker
Riki
RikiHellscream
58% · 61 game50% · 196 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2