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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mad Kingsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Cr1t- · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
25%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Fly · 7 games
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 7 games
43%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Arteezy · 7 games
71%
Sven
Sven
Arteezy · 7 games
43%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SabeRLight- · 6 games
17%

Mad Kings

Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Gardick · 13 games
69%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
payk · 9 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Vitaly · 8 games
63%
Lion
Lionsignature
Michael · 8 games
88%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Gardick · 8 games
100%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Vitaly · 7 games
57%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Genek · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
256 picks · 433 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
231 picks · 359 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
214 picks · 284 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
210 picks · 195 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
207 picks · 99 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
184 picks · 516 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:29
Shopify Rebellion 58%Mad Kings 42%
The model gave 58% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 40:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorArteezy
48% · 61 game52% · 62 games
GyrocopterParker
Gyrocopter
Invoker
InvokerYopaj
46% · 72 games51% · 107 games
DoomFrank
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
60% · 69 games44% · 75 games
BatriderMichael
Batrider
Lion
LionThiolicor
49% · 76 games55% · 34 games
IoStingeR
Io
Game 2prediction correct50:19
Shopify Rebellion 55%Mad Kings 45%
The model gave 55% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 27:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidArteezy
47% · 102 games52% · 123 games
DoomFrank
Doom
Viper
ViperYopaj
45% · 19 games46% · 31 game
GyrocopterParker
Gyrocopter
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
54% · 102 games51% · 130 games
ClockwerkStingeR
Clockwerk
Batrider
BatriderThiolicor
47% · 131 game54% · 70 games
GrimstrokeMichael
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 69%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2