Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Zoomersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SIBE Team
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 9 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
nesfeer · 8 games
Primal Beastsignature
erase · 8 games
Skywrath Magesignature
y0nd · 8 games
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 7 games
Phantom Assassin
nesfeer · 7 games
Pugnaoften banned
y0nd · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
klassnokruto · 6 games
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
315 picks · 154 bans
Ember Spirit
234 picks · 297 bans
Pangolier
212 picks · 418 bans
Beastmaster
197 picks · 410 bans
Skywrath Mage
197 picks · 112 bans
Storm Spirit
195 picks · 285 bans
Dark Seer
191 picks · 362 bans
Doom
178 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 27%
Hero pool strength52% SIBE Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:15
SIBE Team 48%4 Zoomers 52%
The model gave 52% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 36:48.
Game 2prediction missed12:36
SIBE Team 48%4 Zoomers 52%
The model gave 52% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 25:58.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 52%
Series resultSIBE Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2