BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamwin 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hydraloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SIBE Team
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 12 games
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
Pangoliersignature
erase · 9 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
Rubick
emptiness · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Rein · 8 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Rein · 8 games
Hydra
Skywrath Magesignature
Lil · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
Worick · 6 games
Timbersawoften banned
Cloud · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Ember Spirit
Worick · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
HappyDyurara · 4 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Kami · 4 games
Slarkoften banned
Kami · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:20
SIBE Team 47%Hydra 53%
The model gave 53% on Hydra — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 32:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the Lightряф^^
Linakrylat
Centaur Warrunnerklassnokruto
Lycankur0patbI4
Nature's ProphetRein
Grimstrokexsvampire
Rubicksunset
TuskJANTER
Game 2prediction missed33:12
SIBE Team 50%Hydra 50%
The model gave 50% on Hydra — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 28:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the Lightряф^^
Anti-Magekrylat
Doomklassnokruto
Abaddonkur0patbI4
Crystal MaidenRein
PhoenixJANTER
Lionsunset
Muertaxsvampire
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 58%
Series resultSIBE Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2