CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamwin 1:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SIBE Team
Rubick
sunset · 31 game
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 24 games
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 16 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
SOhY · 15 games
Dark Willowoften banned
sunset · 14 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
ряф^^ · 14 games
Batrideroften banned
ряф^^ · 13 games
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 13 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
411 picks · 598 bans
Gyrocopter
357 picks · 379 bans
Crystal Maiden
355 picks · 135 bans
Centaur Warrunner
342 picks · 452 bans
Dark Willow
323 picks · 352 bans
Pangolier
308 picks · 575 bans
Rubick
308 picks · 159 bans
Dragon Knight
305 picks · 591 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Team Hryvnia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% SIBE Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
SIBE Team 67%Team Hryvnia 33%
The model gave 67% on SIBE Team — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIBE Team · 67%
Series resultSIBE Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1