BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
simply TOOBASEDloss 1:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:1
EgoBoysloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
EgoBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
380 picks · 978 bans
Lion
373 picks · 201 bans
Mars
362 picks · 586 bans
Grimstroke
338 picks · 363 bans
Snapfire
298 picks · 173 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 218 bans
Death Prophet
284 picks · 623 bans
Void Spirit
273 picks · 465 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% simply TOOBASED
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% EgoBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteEgoBoys · 60%