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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
SIN DPC!!!win 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Attack on Titanloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SIN DPC!!!

No games played over 6 months.

Attack on Titan

Lich
Lich
Mandy · 2 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
RdO · 2 games
0%
Tiny
Tiny
RdO · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
hFn · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Mandy · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
murd0c · 1 game
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Mandy · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
murd0c · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
787 picks · 546 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
568 picks · 397 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
527 picks · 569 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
523 picks · 440 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
442 picks · 723 bans
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
412 picks · 797 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
406 picks · 295 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
362 picks · 852 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% SIN DPC!!!
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% SIN DPC!!!
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:27
SIN DPC!!! 63%Attack on Titan 37%
The model gave 63% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by Attack on Titan in 59:06.
Game 2prediction correct40:16
SIN DPC!!! 63%Attack on Titan 37%
The model gave 63% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by SIN DPC!!! in 40:05.
Game 3prediction correct36:21
SIN DPC!!! 63%Attack on Titan 37%
The model gave 63% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by SIN DPC!!! in 35:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIN DPC!!! · 63%
Series resultSIN DPC!!! 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3