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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Slot Seekerswin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
IVYloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Slot Seekers

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ZipZaper · 7 games
71%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
Flash · 6 games
83%
Bane
Bane
Flash · 2 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ntakii · 2 games
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
ntakii · 2 games
100%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Coblackk · 2 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ZipZaper · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 2 games
50%

IVY

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
TheBloodySky · 3 games
33%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Lowskill · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 2 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Copy · 2 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 2 games
100%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Lowskill · 2 games
100%
Pugna
Pugna
Copy · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
265 picks · 372 bans
48%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
262 picks · 385 bans
46%
Monkey King
Monkey King
255 picks · 610 bans
61%
Bane
Bane
231 picks · 166 bans
60%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
217 picks · 259 bans
46%
Lina
Lina
216 picks · 465 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
215 picks · 101 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
206 picks · 377 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Slot Seekers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Slot Seekers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:44
Slot Seekers 52%IVY 48%
The model gave 52% on Slot Seekers — the game was taken by IVY in 41:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidCoblackk
51% · 43 games48% · 97 games
UrsaLowskill
Ursa
Void Spirit
Void Spiritntakii
52% · 115 games47% · 126 games
BatriderCopy
Batrider
Timbersaw
TimbersawZipZaper
59% · 85 games42% · 44 games
Legion CommanderTheBloodySky
Legion Commander
Undying
UndyingFlash
52% · 24 games
Game 2prediction missed37:24
Slot Seekers 50%IVY 50%
The model gave 50% on IVY — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 42:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
Kunkkantakii
47% · 65 games58% · 100 games
Monkey KingLowskill
Monkey King
Wraith King
Wraith KingCoblackk
46% · 107 games50% · 114 games
InvokerCopy
Invoker
Tidehunter
TidehunterZipZaper
47% · 97 games53% · 62 games
Faceless VoidTheBloodySky
Faceless Void
Lich
LichFlash
46% · 7 games
Game 3prediction correct45:16
Slot Seekers 51%IVY 49%
The model gave 51% on Slot Seekers — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 39:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangerntakii
55% · 48 games53% · 133 games
LinaCopy
Lina
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerCoblackk
49% · 61 game50% · 61 game
Faceless VoidLowskill
Faceless Void
Tidehunter
TidehunterZipZaper
45% · 125 games50% · 92 games
TimbersawTheBloodySky
Timbersaw
Disruptor
DisruptorFlash
48% · 52 games
Model check result
Model favoriteSlot Seekers · 53%
Series resultSlot Seekers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3