Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSomnus Teamloss 2:3
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:3
HTHao Teamwin 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
497 picks · 275 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 559 bans
Jakiro
453 picks · 359 bans
Tiny
448 picks · 348 bans
Tusk
385 picks · 328 bans
Beastmaster
351 picks · 834 bans
Puck
346 picks · 844 bans
Rubick
323 picks · 172 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Somnus Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Somnus Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Somnus Team 58%Hao Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Somnus Team 58%Hao Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Somnus Team 58%Hao Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 4prediction missed
Somnus Team 58%Hao Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 5prediction missed
Somnus Team 58%Hao Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSomnus Team · 58%
Series resultHao Team 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5