Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSomnus Teamloss 2:3
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:3
STSylar Teamwin 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Sylar Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
561 picks · 345 bans
Phoenix
476 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
434 picks · 363 bans
Pangolier
378 picks · 523 bans
Puck
326 picks · 859 bans
Beastmaster
319 picks · 800 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% Somnus Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total78% Somnus Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Somnus Team 78%Sylar Team 22%
The model gave 78% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Somnus Team 78%Sylar Team 22%
The model gave 78% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Somnus Team 78%Sylar Team 22%
The model gave 78% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 4prediction correct
Somnus Team 78%Sylar Team 22%
The model gave 78% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 5prediction missed
Somnus Team 78%Sylar Team 22%
The model gave 78% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSomnus Team · 78%
Series resultSylar Team 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5