Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSomnus Teamwin 4:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 4:0
ZTZhou Teamloss 0:4
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Zhou Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
488 picks · 271 bans
Phoenix
488 picks · 549 bans
Jakiro
480 picks · 393 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 351 bans
Tusk
398 picks · 337 bans
Beastmaster
360 picks · 829 bans
Puck
349 picks · 862 bans
Warlock
341 picks · 199 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Somnus Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Somnus Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Somnus Team 56%Zhou Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Somnus Team 56%Zhou Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Somnus Team 56%Zhou Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 4prediction correct
Somnus Team 56%Zhou Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSomnus Team · 56%
Series resultSomnus Team 4:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game4 of 4