The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Soniqsloss 1:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Soniqs
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
518 picks · 399 bans
Marci
460 picks · 707 bans
Death Prophet
306 picks · 470 bans
Undying
292 picks · 493 bans
Puck
288 picks · 702 bans
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 395 bans
Enigma
259 picks · 835 bans
Snapfire
256 picks · 134 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Soniqs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:29
Soniqs 36%BETBOOM TEAM 64%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:14:33.
Game 2prediction correct40:45
Soniqs 36%BETBOOM TEAM 64%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:02:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 64%
Accuracy by game2 of 2