BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionSBSouth Built Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lilgunwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
South Built Esports
Alchemistoften banned
Enryu · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Enryu · 5 games
Gyrocopter
Abat · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 5 games
Tiny
Bob · 5 games
Ursaoften banned
Abat · 4 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Bob · 4 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Abat · 3 games
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
375 picks · 969 bans
Lion
371 picks · 201 bans
Mars
361 picks · 585 bans
Grimstroke
336 picks · 358 bans
Snapfire
304 picks · 174 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 218 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 617 bans
Void Spirit
264 picks · 453 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 28%
Hero pool strength51% Lilgun
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Lilgun
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:30
South Built Esports 46%Lilgun 54%
The model gave 54% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Lilgun in 36:34.
Game 2prediction correct34:58
South Built Esports 46%Lilgun 54%
The model gave 54% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Lilgun in 40:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilgun · 54%
Series resultLilgun 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2