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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
SPAWN Teamloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
EHOMEloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SPAWN Team

Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 14 games
64%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
TraVins · 11 games
55%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
TraVins · 11 games
45%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Jikroy · 10 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 8 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
dalul · 8 games
63%
Marci
Marcioften banned
dalul · 7 games
57%

EHOME

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Lwwnb · 14 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Night · 12 games
75%
Tusk
Tusk
Night · 9 games
44%
Marci
Marcioften banned
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
14%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
CatYou · 7 games
57%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
CatYou · 7 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
mks- · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
CatYou · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
448 picks · 447 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
446 picks · 293 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 398 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
323 picks · 323 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
294 picks · 348 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
268 picks · 137 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
245 picks · 614 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
233 picks · 161 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% SPAWN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% SPAWN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:38
SPAWN Team 53%EHOME 47%
The model gave 53% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by EHOME in 34:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingJikroy
51% · 136 games51% · 205 games
Nature's Prophetmks-
Nature's Prophet
Beastmaster
BeastmasterRed
58% · 158 games51% · 227 games
Dragon KnightNight
Dragon Knight
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMamangDaya
46% · 243 games53% · 159 games
Primal Beastxiaoyu154
Primal Beast
Rubick
RubickTraVins
45% · 195 games51% · 100 games
EarthshakerCatYou
Earthshaker
Tusk
Tuskdalul
52% · 204 games45% · 245 games
EnchantressLwwnb
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct55:32
SPAWN Team 53%EHOME 47%
The model gave 53% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 43:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkJikroy
58% · 57 games42% · 88 games
Shadow Fiendmks-
Shadow Fiend
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMamangDaya
52% · 105 games48% · 32 games
Magnusxiaoyu154
Magnus
Viper
ViperRed
47% · 71 game49% · 64 games
Void SpiritNight
Void Spirit
Mirana
MiranaTraVins
56% · 198 games44% · 201 game
RubickCatYou
Rubick
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassindalul
54% · 93 games52% · 139 games
DisruptorLwwnb
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN Team · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2