BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionSSPAWNwin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NANeon Atomicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SPAWN
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Atomic
Silencer
Hated · 2 games
Tiny
JG · 2 games
Disruptor
Hated · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
Hated · 1 game
Marsoften banned
JG · 1 game
Tusk
JG · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
366 picks · 579 bans
Tiny
336 picks · 225 bans
Undying
332 picks · 572 bans
Pangolier
245 picks · 331 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 456 bans
Enigma
237 picks · 753 bans
Tusk
212 picks · 101 bans
Death Prophet
211 picks · 315 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Neon Atomic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% SPAWN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:35
SPAWN 62%Neon Atomic 38%
The model gave 62% on SPAWN — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 42:37.
Game 2prediction missed21:51
SPAWN 62%Neon Atomic 38%
The model gave 62% on SPAWN — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 38:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN · 62%
Series resultSPAWN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2