RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Spider Pigzsloss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Spider Pigzs
No games played over 6 months.
HULIGANI
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 21 game
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
Dark Willow
OneJey · 15 games
Luna
RAMZES666 · 15 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 13 games
Hoodwink
OneJey · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
479 picks · 212 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 616 bans
Batrider
404 picks · 738 bans
Rubick
389 picks · 155 bans
Centaur Warrunner
387 picks · 538 bans
Gyrocopter
374 picks · 315 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 722 bans
Mars
334 picks · 545 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:36
Spider Pigzs 29%HULIGANI 71%
The model gave 71% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 33:23.
Game 2prediction correct32:9
Spider Pigzs 29%HULIGANI 71%
The model gave 71% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 31:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 71%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2