Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stariy_Bog Clubloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TpaBoMaH Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stariy_Bog Club
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
561 picks · 344 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
453 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
433 picks · 362 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 521 bans
Puck
325 picks · 860 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 801 bans
Jakiro
309 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Stariy_Bog Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Stariy_Bog Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Stariy_Bog Club 50%TpaBoMaH Club 50%
The model gave 50% on Stariy_Bog Club — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Club.
Game 2prediction missed
Stariy_Bog Club 50%TpaBoMaH Club 50%
The model gave 50% on Stariy_Bog Club — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteStariy_Bog Club · 50%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Club 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2