BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stariy_bog Teamloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rostik Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stariy_bog Team
Enigmaoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Lion
FlexSlut · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Stariy bog · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
krylat · 1 game
Shadow Fiend
Stariy bog · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Weaver
4IVAN · 1 game
Winter Wyvern
FlexSlut · 1 game
Rostik Team
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
Batrider
iful · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
iful · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
9970- · 1 game
Disruptor
Vlad · 1 game
Faceless Void
zvёzd · 1 game
Leshrac
Vlad · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
iful · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 499 bans
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
Terrorblade
330 picks · 578 bans
Storm Spirit
291 picks · 402 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
Tusk
275 picks · 182 bans
Windranger
263 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:43
Stariy_bog Team 46%Rostik Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 50:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlardarStariy bog
Muertazvёzd
Troll Warlord4IVAN
Centaur Warrunner9970-
Kunkkakrylat
Elder TitanVlad
MarciFlexSlut
Techiesiful
Game 2prediction correct30:45
Stariy_bog Team 46%Rostik Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 37:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina4IVAN
Phantom Lancerzvёzd
PhoenixStariy bog
Centaur Warrunner9970-
Omniknightkrylat
Void SpiritVlad
Ogre MagiFlexSlut
Rubickiful
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 56%
Series resultRostik Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2