BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO1
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:1series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GoodWin Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
749 picks · 596 bans
Disruptor
609 picks · 531 bans
Doom
552 picks · 1095 bans
Beastmaster
549 picks · 1317 bans
Techies
485 picks · 541 bans
Pangolier
469 picks · 955 bans
Ember Spirit
464 picks · 1138 bans
Enchantress
449 picks · 642 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% Stray Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:38
Stray Team 75%GoodWin Team 25%
The model gave 75% on Stray Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 35:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 75%
Series resultGoodWin Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1