BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GoodWin Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
Dark Willow
lowkez · 3 games
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 3 games
Muerta
Retsu · 3 games
Rubick
lowkez · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
Silencer
Vovapain · 3 games
Lion
Stray · 2 games
Nyx Assassin
Stray · 2 games
GoodWin Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariachi · 4 games
Techies
Lesn4ok · 3 games
Void Spirit
GoodWin · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
Lesn4ok · 2 games
Dark Willow
Leviamur · 2 games
Disruptor
Leviamur · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Mariachi · 2 games
Marcioften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
501 picks · 580 bans
Jakiro
491 picks · 442 bans
Ringmaster
462 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
358 picks · 723 bans
Ancient Apparition
326 picks · 745 bans
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 505 bans
Tusk
311 picks · 268 bans
Windranger
301 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% GoodWin Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:6
Stray Team 44%GoodWin Team 56%
The model gave 56% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 19:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerRetsu
TidehunterGoodWin
BeastmasterDkFogas
MarsChodΣX
SlardarStray
Faceless VoidMariachi
Disruptorlowkez
Crystal MaidenLesn4ok
Vengeful SpiritVovapain
JakiroLeviamur
Game 2prediction missed36:13
Stray Team 46%GoodWin Team 54%
The model gave 54% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 30:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverRetsu
TinyMariachi
NecrophosStray
UnderlordGoodWin
EnchantressDkFogas
Centaur WarrunnerChodΣX
Windrangerlowkez
VenomancerLeviamur
TuskVovapain
BaneLesn4ok
Model check result
Model favoriteGoodWin Team · 57%
Series resultStray Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2