Stray Team vs Stariy_bog Team — prediction SL# · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

Streamers League #3 · BO3

live · recalculated in real time

Stray Teamtrailing 0:1

series probability now

34%66%

was 57% pre-match

Stariy_bog Teamleading 1:0

In live mode the model factors in the draft, kill score and gold advantage on top of the pre-match estimate. The probability is recalculated as the series unfolds.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Necrophosoften banned

Stray · 13 games

46%

Spirit Breaker

Goodoq · 11 games

36%

Sniperoften banned

Stray · 10 games

50%

Rubick

Vovapain · 9 games

44%

Tusk

Vovapain · 9 games

56%

Sven

zvёzd · 7 games

57%

Pudge

DkFogas · 6 games

33%

Clockwerk

Goodoq · 5 games

60%

Stariy_bog Team

Iosignature

Stariy bog · 7 games

71%

Ogre Magi

Коля · 5 games

40%

Tinyoften banned

Stariy bog · 5 games

40%

Queen of Pain

Stariy bog · 4 games

50%

Silencer

Cake · 4 games

50%

Sven

Evelone · 4 games

50%

Techiesoften banned

Cake · 4 games

25%

Baneoften banned

Miposhka · 3 games

33%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

590 picks · 384 bans

49%

Dark Willow

528 picks · 320 bans

51%

Mirana

442 picks · 193 bans

52%

Winter Wyvern

419 picks · 365 bans

55%

Windranger

372 picks · 187 bans

53%

Ember Spirit

371 picks · 566 bans

57%

Earth Spirit

320 picks · 588 bans

53%

Centaur Warrunner

311 picks · 303 bans

53%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)52% vs 38%

Hero pool strength51% Stariy_bog Team

Head-to-head1 – 1

Model total57% Stray Team

Probability by game

For each game in the series — win chance: after the draft it factors in hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential; during the game — gold advantage and kills.

Game 1finished · 32:3227:43

Stariy_bog Team won — 100%

Game 2● live · 8 min0:0

Stray Team 61%Stariy_bog Team 39%

Draft overall55% Stray Team

Hero comfort55% Stray Team

Counter-picks50% Stariy_bog Team

Late-game potential (40+)57% Stray Team

Gold lead+869 Stray Team

Kills0 : 0

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo