BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO1
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
300 picks · 436 bans
Phoenix
274 picks · 410 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 442 bans
Lion
229 picks · 207 bans
Tusk
229 picks · 212 bans
Nature's Prophet
227 picks · 640 bans
Vengeful Spirit
224 picks · 119 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Stray Team
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total57% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:19
Stray Team 57%TpaBoMaH Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Stray Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 37:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 57%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1